Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.004291 0.004511 0.004737 0.004987 0.005256 0.005537 0.005853
2025-11-23 0.003911 0.004234 0.004579 0.004979 0.005429 0.005924 0.006510
2025-11-30 0.003627 0.004002 0.004415 0.004906 0.005478 0.006128 0.006928
2025-12-07 0.003415 0.003825 0.004285 0.004846 0.005517 0.006301 0.007298
2025-12-14 0.003270 0.003709 0.004212 0.004838 0.005604 0.006522 0.007724
2025-12-21 0.003072 0.003519 0.004039 0.004695 0.005513 0.006513 0.007855
2025-12-28 0.002979 0.003447 0.003999 0.004708 0.005609 0.006735 0.008284
2026-01-04 0.002916 0.003406 0.003993 0.004759 0.005750 0.007016 0.008802
2026-01-11 0.002819 0.003320 0.003925 0.004726 0.005780 0.007150 0.009127
2026-01-18 0.002742 0.003253 0.003879 0.004717 0.005836 0.007319 0.009504
2026-01-25 0.002659 0.003176 0.003814 0.004680 0.005851 0.007429 0.009801
2026-02-01 0.002634 0.003170 0.003840 0.004761 0.006028 0.007768 0.010450
2026-02-08 0.002559 0.003098 0.003779 0.004725 0.006044 0.007883 0.010775
2026-02-15 0.002500 0.003046 0.003742 0.004718 0.006099 0.008056 0.011198
2026-02-22 0.002421 0.002965 0.003662 0.004651 0.006063 0.008093 0.011410
2026-03-01 0.002352 0.002893 0.003594 0.004596 0.006042 0.008148 0.011651
2026-03-08 0.002304 0.002850 0.003561 0.004588 0.006088 0.008306 0.012066
2026-03-15 0.002213 0.002746 0.003443 0.004455 0.005945 0.008167 0.011978
2026-03-22 0.002179 0.002717 0.003427 0.004467 0.006017 0.008362 0.012465
2026-03-29 0.002159 0.002707 0.003436 0.004514 0.006142 0.008645 0.013124
2026-04-05 0.002113 0.002660 0.003392 0.004484 0.006148 0.008738 0.013452
2026-04-12 0.002077 0.002625 0.003365 0.004476 0.006186 0.008884 0.013884
2026-04-19 0.002034 0.002580 0.003320 0.004441 0.006181 0.008958 0.014187